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Damming Diplomacy: The Brutal Impact of Turkish Water Politics on Syria and Iraq
A Deep Dive into the Geopolitical Maneuvering and Human Consequences of Water Resource Control
July 27, 2023
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Introduction

In the parched landscapes of the Middle East, where life clings to the rhythmic ebb and flow of water, the Tigris and Euphrates rivers course through time and territory as the lifelines of Syria and Iraq. Their journey, however, commences in Turkey, where their vital life-giving force is seized, harnessing these ancient waters to feed the hunger of energy and agricultural ambitions, embodied in Turkey's ambitious Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) and the mammoth Ilısu Dam.

Yet, this story isn't merely about the manipulation of water; it is about power, control, and a crisis echoed in the barren fields of Syria and Iraq. It's about the urgent whisper of the rivers, growing fainter, as the lifeblood of the downstream nations is drawn away, leaving a trail of droughts, declining agricultural productivity, and economic hardships in its wake.

The stark consequence? A staggering 40 percent reduction in water flow to Syria and Iraq - a wound inflicted even before the leviathan of Turkey's energy projects in the Euphrates basin comes fully to life. The lifeblood of these nations, their agriculture, lies disrupted and withered. Their crop yields have dwindled, plunging rural communities into the throes of food insecurity and economic despair. The ripple effect has driven migration from rural to urban, the strain on city infrastructure almost palpable.

Yet, water scarcity isn't the only fallout of Turkey's hydropower and irrigation endeavors. A more insidious undercurrent flows through this narrative - a unilateral approach to water resource management and dam construction, breeding tension and mistrust amongst the nations. Turkey's use of water as a political bargaining chip, particularly in Kurdish territories, does little but fuel the diplomatic flames, further complicating an already fragile situation.

As GAP unfolds, its benefits are largely pocketed by Turkey, leaving Syria and Iraq grappling with the burden of its consequences. This tale of resource distribution echoes the wider narrative of socio-economic inequity in the region. While Turkey thrives on increased energy generation and economic prosperity, Syria and Iraq reel from the blow of water shortages and socio-economic instability. As these stark contrasts take center stage, they further erode the relationship between these nations, casting a long shadow over the prospects of regional cooperation and development.

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The Watershed Moment: Iraq's Hydropolitical Dilemma

In the sun-scorched landscapes of the Middle East, water has morphed from a source of life into a pawn in geopolitical maneuvers. An understated instigator of socio-ecological turmoil. Iraq finds itself squarely in the crosshairs of this transformation, grappling with the fallout from Turkey's hydraulic hegemony. The once mighty Euphrates and Tigris rivers teeter on the precipice of becoming mere relics of a time when water was abundant and free-flowing.

Turkey, sitting on the throne of the Euphrates and Tigris headwaters, holds the reins of these rivers' downstream destiny. This grip has been fortified by the Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP), a brazen venture involving 22 dams, 19 hydroelectric power plants, and an intricate web of irrigation networks. Initiated in 1977, GAP is Turkey's masterstroke in resource control.

Among the final components of this grand project is the Ilısu Dam, an imposing hydroelectric behemoth forecasted to churn out a whopping 3,800 GWh of electricity annually. While Turkey's energy infrastructure stands to reap substantial benefits, the consequences downstream are dire.

Data from the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization sketches a sobering trajectory. Iraq's per capita water availability in 1977 was around 2,400 cubic meters annually. By 2015, this figure had been more than halved to 1,055 cubic meters. Projections for 2025 predict a precipitous drop to a meager 700 cubic meters. We're looking at a fast-approaching water crisis, conducted with unnerving precision from upstream.

The shadows of Iraq's escalating socio-economic crises are growing longer, their root buried deep within Turkey's unwavering water policies. A World Bank analysis underlines the potential human toll: in 2018, nearly a fifth of Iraq's population, representing about 7 million people, relied on agriculture for their livelihood. As the rivers recede, these communities face the existential threat of unemployment and food insecurity. An exodus from rural to urban regions is a likely scenario, one that could shake the already precarious equilibrium of Iraq's cities to its core.

Ahmed is a representation of the harsh realities of water scarcity in Iraq. The 42-year-old wheat farmer was once a proud tiller of the fertile plains of Nineveh, contributing to a region known as Iraq's breadbasket. Yet, the worsening water crisis, a combination of record low rainfall, unprecedented temperature hikes, and upstream damming activities, pushed him into an unfortunate exodus.

Forced to abandon his ancestral land, Ahmed found himself grappling with unemployment in the urban sprawls of Mosul, a city still bearing the scars of recent conflicts. This shift was not just a change in scenery but represented a devastating loss of livelihood, dignity, and stability for Ahmed and his large family.

This mass displacement isn't exclusive to Ahmed. The International Organization for Migration (IOM) reports that hundreds of families, who had initially been displaced due to conflict and had later returned, found themselves uprooted yet again due to the intensifying drought.

The water crisis, accentuated by falling water levels on the Tigris and Euphrates due to dam-building in neighboring Turkey and Iran, is not only a trigger for socio-economic upheaval but also a catalyst for potentially destabilizing migration patterns to cities ill-equipped to handle such an influx. The story of Ahmed's displacement is a stark reminder of the human implications of water scarcity, underlining the urgency to address this issue not only as a diplomatic and environmental challenge but as a profound humanitarian crisis.

These rivers, once vibrant symbols of fertility, have been transformed into emblems of a looming power crisis and public health catastrophe. The decline in water flow doesn't just jeopardize Iraq's small, yet significant, hydropower generation; it dramatically increases the risk of waterborne diseases like cholera and diarrhea, as the concentration of pollutants in the diminished waters surges. The most vulnerable, children, bear the brunt of this emerging health crisis.

The Iraqi Marshes, the ecological crown jewel of Iraq and a vibrant testament to the region's historical legacy, are a poignant reflection of Turkey's water machinations. Once a lush maze of reed beds and waterways teeming with life, the marshes are now a parched skeleton of their former selves. The Marsh Arabs, inhabitants of these wetlands for millennia, are forced to witness the slow annihilation of their culture, perpetrated not by violence but by an insidious water deficit. Their ancient wisdom, preserved through generations, is being erased, consumed by the encroaching desert sands.

This grim reality has fueled a simmering cauldron of social unrest, occasionally spilling over into the public arena, as evidenced by the protests in Basra. A ticking socio-ecological time bomb, the explosion's inevitability grows more acute with each passing day.

In the face of this impending disaster, Turkey, seemingly unmoved by international outcry or potential sanctions, continues its relentless pursuit of GAP's completion. This is the embodiment of realpolitik in its most ruthless form, where national interests trump the potential catastrophe awaiting downstream.

To be fair, Turkey, as a sovereign nation, holds the right to harness its resources. However, there exists a fine line between strategic utilization and oppressive control, a line Turkey seems dangerously close to crossing.

Amidst this impending crisis, the glaring absence of a comprehensive transboundary water management agreement is baffling. Such an agreement is not just a diplomatic salve, it could be the lifeline millions need.

Tensions and Lack of Agreements

Turkey's aggressive dam construction and extensive irrigation projects have fanned the flames of tension between itself, Syria, and Iraq. Though water-sharing agreements exist between Turkey and Syria, and Syria and Iraq, a comprehensive pact between Turkey and Iraq remains elusive. This absence has intensified disputes over water resources.

Past attempts at cooperation and negotiation have yielded little fruit, and no formal agreement has yet been established. This lack of transparency and equitable water-sharing policies only serves to deepen the crisis and escalate mistrust among these nations. The path forward is clear but untraveled: for these countries to chart a course away from disaster, collaboration and compromise are not just desirable, they are essential

The Iraq-Turkey MoU and Its Concealed Pitfalls

In an era dominated by intensifying geopolitical tensions and competition for resources, the memorandum of understanding (MoU) between Iraq and Turkey in 2019 carries significant implications for the region. This cooperation, intended to address water issues and foster better bilateral relations, instead reveals a complex intertwining of diplomacy, economic interests, and strategic maneuvering that demands a meticulous analysis.

The MoU, borne out of diplomatic negotiations spanning several years, attempts to lay the groundwork for mutual cooperation and experience-sharing. Yet the opaque nature of its construction, and the lack of public scrutiny over its contents, raise questions over the effectiveness of this instrument in guaranteeing Iraq’s fair share of the Tigris and Euphrates waters.

The lack of an Arabic version of the MoU is a surprising oversight, given the significance of precise terminology in any legal or diplomatic document. Such an omission could lead to disagreements or misinterpretations that could compromise Iraq's interests.

Additionally, the memorandum's failure to reference international standards or conventions is a conspicuous omission, particularly considering Iraq's adherence to the Convention on the Law of Non-Navigational Uses of International Watercourses from 1997. This omission leaves the agreement devoid of the context provided by globally accepted principles, thus increasing the potential for disputes and misunderstandings in the future.

Moreover, the MoU appears to limit development cooperation to "joint projects", with a lack of clarity over what these projects may entail. The history of unilateral Turkish dam projects, such as the GAP project and the Ilisu Dam, raises concerns over the potential for this phrase to be leveraged for strategic advantage by Turkey.

The proposed construction of three new dams, reportedly located within Iraqi borders but to be built in partnership with the Iraqi government and managed jointly, raise further questions. The Iraqi water strategy does not call for new dams, suggesting that these projects are driven by Turkish interests.

Three points of Turkish interest emerge from this:

Turkey's economic influence, with Turkish companies poised to secure substantial profits from these projects.

The strategic use of dams as security barriers, an approach Turkey has historically utilized.

The manipulation of this agreement to further their own water resource objectives, including the operation of the Ilisu Dam and other projects along the Tigris and Euphrates rivers.

Conspicuously absent from the MoU is any commitment from Turkey to refrain from building additional dams without coordination with Iraq, raising concerns about Iraq's ability to safeguard its water security.

The repeated references to Turkish companies underscore Turkey's keen interest in penetrating the Iraqi market, especially in the lucrative water management sector. Furthermore, the focus on bilateral dealings with Iraq and the reduction of Syria's role signals a potential strategy to isolate and weaken Syria's bargaining position, thereby fortifying Turkey's influence in regional water resource management.

In essence, the document reveals a complex blend of diplomacy, economics, and strategy. The MoU ostensibly focuses on cooperation, but beneath the surface, it hints at a distinct possibility of power asymmetry favoring Turkey. Iraq needs to ensure that any agreement it signs respects its national interests, aligns with its long-term strategy, and adheres to international standards, to ensure the sustainable and equitable utilization of shared water resources

Euphrates-Tigris River Basin

.The Specter of Desertification: Turkey's Hydro-Imperialism and the Withering of Syria

When the cradle of civilization gasps for water, and the ancient rivers that once nurtured it are held hostage by cold, calculating hydro-hegemony, the reverberations echo through history. As if etched on the dried-out riverbed of the Euphrates, Turkey's water policies sketch a stark tale of suffering and survival, particularly for its Southern neighbor, Syria.

The Euphrates, the life-giving artery that once coursed vigorously through Syria's heart, now trickles pitifully. Turkey's unyielding chokehold on its flow has set in motion a humanitarian crisis of epic proportions. Northeast Syria, a region under the Kurdish-led Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria, finds itself in the eye of this storm. Turkey has throttled the Euphrates' flow to a paltry 200 cubic meters per second, a stark contrast to the agreed-upon 500 cubic meters in the Syrian-Turkish agreement. This brazen violation has led to the impairment of the Tishrin hydroelectric dam, casting an ominous shadow over electricity generation.

Notwithstanding the geopolitical power play, the real casualties of this hydrological war are the humble farmers. Agriculture, the heartbeat of the region's economy, now stands imperiled on the brink of annihilation. Once teeming with life, the fertile plains along the Euphrates are now the parched specter of a waterless world. It's a poignant paradox: the very waters that once blessed these lands with life are now withheld, leaving behind a devastating trail of ruin.

But the tyranny of Turkey's water policy doesn't end with uprooting the economic mainstay. It's a relentless juggernaut that steamrolls over the bread and butter issues - quite literally. Food security, precariously poised due to the relentless civil war, now totters on the brink of collapse. Crop degradation, amplified by livestock loss, has sent food prices skyrocketing, while the specter of famine begins to take form in the arid Syrian landscape. Over 5 million souls in Northeast Syria find themselves tethered to the Euphrates, their life and survival hanging by the thread of its dwindling waters.

The human cost of Turkey's water aggression is sobering. Yet, the wounds inflicted run deeper, seeping into the public health fabric. The plummeting water levels, while tragic in their own right, also herald a public health nightmare. Diseases once considered eradicated, like cholera, hepatitis, and typhoid fever, are rearing their heads again. A grim testament to this unfolding health crisis is the fact that a staggering number of water stations along the Euphrates are critically affected, stoking a health crisis in governorates like Hasakah, Raqqa, Deir ez-Zor, and Aleppo.

Moreover, Turkey's chokehold on the Euphrates has set the stage for an escalating ecological disaster. Land that was once fertile is now succumbing to desertification, accelerating at a rate that can only be described as an ecological time bomb. Drought cases and periods in 2021 spiked by an alarming 29 percent compared to the past two decades. The land, once celebrated as the cradle of civilization, now stands on the precipice of turning into a sprawling desert.

Amid this intensifying crisis, Turkey not only remains unmoved but appears to be flexing its muscles even more. Its threats of a new military offensive against the Kurdish-dominated regions of Northeast Syria are a chilling testament to Ankara's unyielding aggression, adding an unbearable weight of anxiety and uncertainty on an already beleaguered population.

A river that once symbolized life has now become an instrument of despair, thanks to Turkey's unflinching pursuit of hydro-hegemony. While its quest for national interests may be understandable to some extent, the flagrant disregard for the water needs of its neighbors is simply inexcusable. It's time the international community moved beyond the realm of rhetoric and took decisive actions to hold Turkey accountable for its reckless actions.

1987 Turkey-Syria Water Protocol

The year 1987 saw the genesis of a crucial protocol that was inked with an aim to foster peaceful cohabitation between the riparian nations of Turkey, Syria, and Iraq. The heart of the matter was the distribution of the Euphrates River water, which has its source in the Eastern Anatolia region of Turkey and meanders through Syria and Iraq before culminating its journey in the Persian Gulf. This agreement had a simple prescription — Turkey was mandated to ensure a flow of at least 500 cubic meters per second at the Turkish-Syrian border.

The treaty appeared solid on paper, serving as a testament to cooperative intentions and a collective pledge to maintain the ebb and flow of shared natural resources. Yet the cascade of history has demonstrated that in the arena of geopolitics, good intentions often fall prey to the pragmatic pursuit of national interests.

Turkey, a burgeoning regional power with a rapidly growing economy and population, embarked on a path of unprecedented hydro-engineering expansion, a pivotal component of which is the Southeastern Anatolia Project, or GAP. This project, a system of 22 dams and 19 power plants, represents a mighty testament to Turkish industrial and technological prowess, a literal reshaping of the land to bend the waters to Turkey’s will. The Atatürk Dam, the centerpiece of this grand project, alone has the capacity to hold a year's worth of Euphrates flow.

Yet, as the mighty Euphrates courses through Syria and Iraq, it brings with it not just life-giving water but the memory of its capture upstream. The hegemony of Turkish dams curtails the river's flow, with dire consequences for the nations downstream. The ostensibly assured 500 cubic meters per second flow at the Syrian border becomes a mirage in the desert as Turkey harnesses the Euphrates, impounding it within the concrete and steel confines of its dams.

The situation downstream in Syria and Iraq reveals a stark picture: parched fields where bountiful crops once grew, withering livestock, and beleaguered communities that once thrived along the riverbanks. Yet, this is more than a tale of ecological calamity; it is a narrative of a world where water, a shared resource and common heritage, is harnessed as a tool of power and control.

Indeed, the 1987 protocol promised a joint, harmonious management of a shared resource. Yet, in its implementation, it has evolved into an emblem of disparity and contention. It is a stark reminder that the governance of natural resources, particularly those traversing national boundaries, is often less about equity and justice and more about the exercise of power. The Euphrates is not just a river; it has become a geopolitical battleground where the lives and futures of millions hang in the balance, teetering between a thirst for progress and the thirst of the parched earth.

The ethical riddle we must grapple with is this: In our quest for progress, should the rivers of the world, the veins of our Earth, be shackled in concrete and steel? Or can we, as custodians of this planet, find a path that respects both the needs of development and the rhythms of the natural world?

It is high time that the international community awakens to the symphony of the Euphrates, listens to its tales of woe, and calls for a review of the 1987 agreement, urging Turkey to uphold not just the letter but the spirit of this crucial protocol. The Euphrates, after all, is more than just a river; it is a lifeline, a shared heritage, a testament to the intertwined destinies of the nations through which it flows.

Ataturk, Tabqa, IIisu, Cizre and Mosul Dams showing water-flow capacity

Political and Economic Machinations: Unraveling the Threads of Turkey's Water Policies

While the exterior of Turkey's water management edifice appears steeped in environmental concerns and developmental ambitions, a closer look reveals a lattice of political maneuvering and economic calculations. Far from being purely a quest for sustainability or agricultural prosperity, Turkey's water policies, when unraveled, emerge as conduits for political leverage and economic gains.

This dance of power and wealth becomes palpably evident in Turkey's engagement with Syria and Iraq. For Ankara, water negotiations are not confined to the realm of ecology or humanitarianism. Instead, they serve as the political chessboard on which Turkey maneuvers to gain cooperation from Syria and Iraq on contentious issues. Among these issues, the matter of Kurdish territories looms large. Using the throttle of water control, Turkey pushes for favorable stances from its southern neighbors regarding Kurdish autonomy and militancy. Thus, the rivers that crisscross these nations, instead of fostering unity and shared prosperity, are harnessed as weapons in a game of geopolitical brinkmanship.

The dynamics of Turkey's water policies are also deeply intertwined with the veins of economic interest. Turkish companies, with eyes set on the lucrative Iraqi market, have embarked on numerous investment projects. These ventures, while seemingly economic in nature, have far-reaching implications for the water-sharing debate. By embedding themselves in Iraq's economic fabric, these companies strengthen Turkey's grip over the negotiation table, potentially skewing water-sharing solutions in favor of Turkish interests.

This intricate intertwining of economic gains and political leverage transforms Turkey's hydro-strategies into a multi-pronged instrument. On one hand, it yields developmental dividends within Turkish borders, bolstering agricultural and energy sectors. On the other hand, it equips Turkey with potent bargaining chips in regional politics, while simultaneously opening doors for economic expansion.

The panorama of Turkey's water policies, therefore, extends far beyond the rivers and dams that visibly define it. The implications ripple out, influencing the political tides and economic currents that shape the wider Middle Eastern landscape. As we continue to dissect this issue, it becomes increasingly evident that the crisis at hand is not merely environmental, but a potent mix of politics, economy, and ecology. A holistic resolution, hence, requires not only ecological sensitivities but also a careful navigation of the undercurrents of power and wealth.

Navigating to Sustainability: Conclusions and a Path Forward

As we navigate the turbulent currents of this unfolding crisis, it's crucial to steer the dialogue from conflict to cooperation, from exploitation to sustainability, and from dominance to shared responsibility.

Coping with the water shortage in Syria and Iraq necessitates sincere, transparent negotiations between Turkey, Syria, and Iraq. This includes not only reassessing water-sharing agreements but also pioneering a holistic water management framework that can cope with the exacerbating factors of growing populations and shifting meteorological patterns.

Turkey, as the nation with the most control over the Tigris and Euphrates, has a critical role to play in this process. The country's ambitious development and hydro-engineering projects have had undeniable economic benefits, but they have also led to mounting tensions over water rights. It's imperative for Turkey to take the lead in promoting sustainable water use, engaging with neighboring countries in a spirit of cooperation and respect, and seeking balanced solutions that address the needs of all parties involved.

Furthermore, this approach could serve Turkey's broader geopolitical interests. Establishing fair and transparent water-sharing agreements would be a tangible demonstration of goodwill towards its neighbors, which could help ease regional tensions. Specifically, if Turkey is serious about reconciliation with Syria and Iraq, ensuring equitable access to water could foster mutual trust, paving the way for increased cooperation on shared challenges, such as Kurdish insurgency. By securing its 'water relations', Turkey might find it can better secure its borders and foster regional stability.

It's essential for regional powers to step in and mediate the discourse, advocate for sustainable water management practices, and support the affected nations with technical expertise and funding. Water should no longer be seen as a source of contention but as a wellspring of cooperation.

It's essential for the international community to step in and mediate the discourse, advocate for sustainable water management practices, and support the affected nations with technical expertise and funding. Water should no longer be seen as a source of contention but as a wellspring of cooperation.

Innovative solutions such as adopting advanced irrigation technologies, rainwater harvesting, wastewater recycling, and desalination should be explored and implemented where possible. These could significantly reduce the stress on the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, allowing for a more equitable and sustainable allocation of water resources.

Furthermore, educational initiatives should be introduced to promote a culture of water conservation and raise awareness of the critical role each individual can play in water stewardship. These efforts can help cultivate a mindset that understands and respects the intrinsic value of water beyond its economic and strategic importance.

Turning back to the story of Ahmed, a farmer from the arid plains of Mesopotamia whose once verdant fields now stand parched under the harsh sun, the urgency of this crisis becomes all too real. The fading echo of the mighty Tigris in the background is a chilling testament to the threat that looms not only over Ahmed's livelihood but the survival and prosperity of millions like him.

The heart of this discourse is not about the control of resources, it's about our shared humanity and our collective responsibility towards our planet and future generations. Water is a lifeline, a heritage, and a testament to the interconnected fate of the nations through which it flows. As we sip the last drops of this vital resource, the question we must ask ourselves is whether we want to be remembered as the generation that allowed rivers to run dry or as the one that breathed life back into them.

In conclusion, a shared commitment to sustainable water management can be the key to unlocking regional stability and avert potential conflicts arising from water scarcity in the future. It's time to redefine our relationship with water – not as a commodity to be hoarded and exploited but as a shared resource to be managed with care, respect, and foresight. After all, water is life, and like life, it should be celebrated, protected, and shared in the spirit of global kinship.

-Sarah

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Sarah proudly wears the colors of the holocaust perpetrator Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA). Source: nypost.com

The Russo-Ukrainian war has been unique in not just the sheer volume of propaganda it has generated, but also in the rise of mercenary “journalists” working as propaganda agents of a faraway foreign state. One of the most infamous of these is a woman named Sarah Ashton-Cirillo. Formerly a real estate speculator and gambler from Las Vegas, Sarah has managed to transcend most of the right-wing grifters haunting Ukraine and now works as an official spokesperson of the Ukrainian army.

In my previous article, I detailed Sarah’s longstanding ties to the far right, both at home and in Ukraine. Despite this, she has constantly been lauded by the media, receiving recognition far beyond her meager accomplishments. I urge you to read it, as this background is essential to understanding who Sarah really is, as opposed to who a carefully manicured PR campaign has made her out to be.

Unfortunately, Sarah has not been idle. In the past months, she has doubled down and is now one of the most essential propagandists for the Ukrainian far right. Once more, this noxious weed called fascism has laid down deep roots in the black soil of Ukraine.

Setting the table

Sarah has been in Ukraine for over a year now. When she first arrived, she was little more than a small-time blogger, but her connections and willingness to work with the far right led to a meteoric rise.

Sarah’s first position in Ukraine was working with the openly neo-Nazi Kraken unit, some of the most savage criminals of the war. An offshoot of Azov, Kraken was created in Kharkov by a co-founder of Azov, gangster and longtime neo-Nazi terrorist named Sergei “Botsman” Korotikh and is perhaps best known for the infamous kneecapping video that circulated online in the early running of the war.

A group of Russian POWs were pushed from a van and kneecapped on video, then mutilated, tortured, and murdered off camera by Kraken officer Sergei “Chili” Velichko. This was nothing out of the ordinary for Sergei. Before it was scrubbed, Chili’s Instagram was full of graphic evidence of his ghastly crimes at a dairy farm near Kharkov.

Sarah’s connection to Kraken was more than just a job. She lived with the Nazis in Kharkov and became one of their close friends and comrades. In an interview for the Washington Blade, Sarah recounts a time when an unnamed Azov member (most likely one of her comrades in Kraken) comforted her after Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova publicly confronted Sarah on her ties to the far right.

When the American MRA Gonzalo Lira was arrested for the first time, it was Sergei who was responsible, and his friend Sarah was the first journalist he told. Sarah called Kraken heroes and remained embedded with the unit for some time, and even filmed herself on patrol with the unit searching for “saboteurs”, using a modern euphemism for what Chili’s ideological ancestors called Bandenbekämpfung.

        Chili and his commander Botsman taunting Lira on Twitter. Source: Twitter

After a few months of living and working with Nazi murderers, Sarah amassed a considerable following, aided and abetted the entire time by a mainstream media establishment perfectly willing to overlook Sarah’s long-running associations with far-right terrorists. Before long, her work caught the attention of the Zelensky regime, and she began to work in an official capacity for the Kiev junta.

Her first government job came in September 2022 as a civilian representative for the Mayor of Zolochiv, Viktor Kovalenko. In October, she officially enlisted in the Ukrainian Territorial Defense and joined the Noman Çelebicihan Battalion, a small Crimean Tatar unit that is supported by NATO member Turkey.

Members of the unit are comprised mostly of and regularly express support for the neo-fascist “Grey Wolves”, a Turkish terrorist organization that has been proven through multiple court cases and parliamentary inquiries to be founded and directed by NATO intelligence. The Grey wolves are part of Counter Guerrilla, a vital branch of what is colloquially known as Operation GLADIO, the CIA’s 7 decade-long (and almost certainly ongoing), continent-spanning terrorist campaign designed to prevent “democratic” Europe from electing anti-NATO politicians by any means necessary.

The funding for this program came from massive drug trafficking, using ports in Turkey and Italy to unload heroin from Asia, and funds were laundered through the Vatican’s Banco Ambrosiano, making use of the church’s sovereign status and extreme secrecy to launder billions in drug money and distribute it to fascist terrorists away from the prying eyes of investigators.

Founded shortly after WW2, the Grey Wolves are responsible for countless crimes ranging from drug trafficking and assassination (including the attempted assassination of Pope John Paul II) to military coups against the Turkish state. They have a presence throughout Europe, deep ties to the Turkish mafia, and are considered so violent and malicious that despite their background, they are banned in several NATO states.

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Noman Çelebicihan Battalion members in Turkish uniforms with a MHP (Grey Wolves political wing) flag in the background. Source: Facebook

The Battalion also works hand in hand and shares many members with an international terrorist organization called Hizb ut-Tahir. The violently anti-Semitic, anti-democratic, and fundamentalist HuT seeks to create a united Shia caliphate, and its members have worked very hard to reach their goal. Starting with its founding in 1953, HuT has been involved in dozens of attempted and successful coups in Jordan, Syria, Egypt, Tunisia, and Iraq.

“In origin, no one likes the Jews except the Jews. Even they themselves rarely like each other.... The American people do not like the Jews nor do the Europeans, because the Jews by their very nature do not like anyone else. Rather they look at other people as wild animals that have to be tamed to serve them. So, how can we imagine it being possible for any Arab or Muslim to like the Jews whose character is such?... Know that the Jews and their usurping state in Palestine will, by the Help and Mercy of Allah, be destroyed "until the stones and trees will say: O Muslim, O Slave of Allah. Here is a Jew behind me, so come and kill him.”-Hizb ut-Tahir, 1999

Although it has mostly escaped scrutiny, the organization became known in America on two occasions. The first of which was in 1991, when HuT spokesman Ata Abu Rashta played a vital role in the astroturfed PR campaign to drum up support for the Persian Gulf War. He toured the Middle East giving lectures and debates condemning the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and urging American intervention. Although the US Government had approved of the invasion only a few months earlier, the Kuwaiti monarchy spent millions to change their minds. The campaign reached a crescendo with the heavily televised and entirely fraudulent “Nariyah testimony” and was eventually successful in convincing the American elites to betray their former ally Saddam Hussein and wage war on Iraq in defense of the Kuwaiti slave state.

The second time HuT entered the American political discourse was when it was revealed that the Boston Marathon bombers Tamerlan and Dzhokar Tsarnaev were trained and radicalized by their distant cousin and HuT member Magomed Kartashov. Russian intelligence had warned the American authorities about the Tsarnaev brothers associations with HuT, but their warnings were ignored.

No official explanation was ever given for this “oversight”, but as it has been proven in court that HuT is a proxy of Turkish intelligence and operates within the same apparatus as the Grey Wolves, the reasoning is obvious. American intelligence was loathe to arrest their own agents after they had invested so much into their training.

Sarah’s comrades in arms putting their NATO training to use in Boston. Source: nymag.com

Despite over seven decades of terrorism both great and small, HuT remains legal and operates openly in most of America’s vassals. Notably, the organization is banned in Turkey, which is happy to export its domestic terrorists to its so-called allies.

The Noman Çelebicihan Battalion was one of the many volunteer battalions created in the wake of the Maidan coup and financed by oligarchs looking to carve out a fiefdom in the new Ukraine. In this case, much of the funding came from oligarch-turned-terrorist, Lenur Islyamov.

In 2015, working together with neo-Nazi units such as Azov and Right Sector, this unit was responsible for sabotaging critical power infrastructure to Crimea, leading to a two-week-long blackout that affected over 2 million Crimeans. This was done as part of a larger strategy of blockade, an intentional effort to starve out people the Kiev junta still considers to be its citizens. For this and other crimes, Islymaov and around 60 of the unit’s soldiers were convicted in absentia by a Crimean court. They maintain their innocence, and although the sabotage of Crimean power lines is incontrovertible, they simply do not believe it is a crime to hurt Russians.

Some of Sarah’s comrades, wearing the colors of the Right Sector and the Holocaust perpetrator UPA. Source: Facebook.com
Source: Instagram

Sarah’s association with this unit could be a coincidence, however as she previously bragged on Instagram about how she was in the Turkish capital of Ankara during the attempted coup of 2016, a more profound connection cannot be ruled out. Sarah has known links to intelligence, she has ties to USAID, the US government’s regime change operation which poses as foreign aid, dating back over 20 years. She is a collaborator with the FBI as part of her “infiltration” of the Proud Boys and she is also close friends with a former British Army hacker named Vic Harkness, who worked for DSTL, the British equivalent of DARPA. While none of this represents a smoking gun, it would explain why she was so readily and willingly accepted by the Ukrainian propaganda machine.

Going all-in

Given her complete lack of credentials and relevant skills, the depth and breadth of Sarah’s role inside the Ukrainian state is almost shocking. In a country swarming with experienced and eager propagandists, we must ask why Sarah, in particular, has been given such a prominent role so quickly. She does not speak Ukrainian and had less than two weeks of training from the AFU, and yet she has become the face of the Ukrainian war effort. She is far more than a propagandist, according to USA Today, Sarah is even writing policy for the Ukrainian government. While Sarah is a pathological liar, I can find nothing to dispute this.

After a few months doing propaganda videos for the AFU, Sarah returned to the United States for a propaganda tour in December 2022. Working alongside the CIA-founded and US government-operated Voice of America, she was part of an all-out propaganda blitz. Sarah was wined and dined by the American media, eager to use her status as transexual as a shield against the overwhelming evidence of fascist infiltration of the Ukrainian state. This has been Sarah’s primary goal for some time now, just as it was by the Clark County GOP in Nevada, Sarah’s “unicorn” status is used as a totem by the far-right to ward off attacks.

However, it is very easy to see past the lies to Sarah’s real purpose. While in Washington D.C., she met with some of the most savage killers on earth, men who would make even Kraken recoil in horror. While Chili and Botsman must do their dirty work with rifles and knives, Sarah’s patrons kill millions with the stroke of a pen.

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Wicker giving a speech against Pride Month, 2023. Source: wjtv.com

The most prominent of these was far-right senator Roger Wicker (R-MS), one of the architects of America’s full-scale invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. Wicker is not content to just kill Iraqis and Afghans, he is also fanatically anti-Russian. In 2021 he even threatened a pre-emptive nuclear strike on Russia, threatening to wipe out all life on earth to save the Kiev junta. It is a bitter irony seeing Wicker accuse Russian forces of genocide in Ukraine when a minimum of 4.5 million innocent people were killed by America’s illegalunjustifiable, and unprovoked invasions in the Middle East.

Of course, this is nothing new for Wicker. He has always been one of the staunchest supporters of America’s unprovoked full-scale invasion even after most of his party has turned against it. As late as 2022, Wicker called the Iraq war just and opposed efforts to close America’s illegal black sites such as Guantanamo Bay, where thousands of prisoners are still held without charge and routinely tortured.

After the NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan, Wicker called it "one of the biggest foreign policy catastrophes in my lifetime” and authored a bill to cut off all official contact with Afghanistan. Thanks to Wicker and his comrades after the illegal 20-year occupation killed millions of Afghans, nearly 50% of the nation now faces starvation due to America’s abrupt seizure of humanitarian aid. Many Afghan families are now selling their children into slavery to make ends meet in the lucrative slave markets that have re-emerged throughout countries “liberated” by America.

Despite all of this, Roger Wicker is the leader of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, a senatorial group designed to monitor “human rights” across the globe. In an example of doublespeak worthy even of Orwell, the United States government spends much of its time and effort enforcing “human rights” at gunpoint on the rest of the world. At the same time, these human rights defenders savagely deprive them from millions of innocent people for the benefit of corporations like Lockheed, who was the top donor to Wicker’s political action committee in 2022.

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Wicker (far left) with Lockheed’s CEO at a defense forum. Source: navy.mil

This calculus is often invoked among the ruling class. When she was speaking to Wicker’s group, Sarah used her background as a real estate speculator to point out the return on investment from American arms sent to Ukraine. As the war drags on and support for the Kiev junta becomes increasingly unjustifiable, the ruling class are being stripped of their excuses one by one and must admit the real reasons for their wars.

Endless profits for the senatorsthe arms dealers, and the corporations, all of it from blood. This alchemy, turning blood into gold, is the last remaining pillar of what is an otherwise financialized and cannibalistic American economy. It matters very little to them if the blood is Ukrainian, Russian, Iraqi or otherwise, as long as it flows freely into their coffers. The machine must consume human lives to sustain itself.

It should be mentioned that Wicker is one of the most anti-LGBTQ politicians in Congress. Sarah does not seem to have any problem working with him while simultaneously pinkwashing neo-Nazis in Ukraine and attacking Russia as homophobic. For the “rules-based international order”, the rules only matter when they can benefit from them.

It seems that Sarah was successful in her mission, after she returned to Ukraine from her American sojourn, her role was considerably expanded. In February, Sarah claims she was sent to the front lines near Bakhmut with the 113th Territorial Defense Brigade, where she sustained minor injuries to her hand while filming propaganda videos. In the aftermath, Sarah spread fantastical tales about how she had killed scores of Russians in a victorious battle. Curiously, despite this great victory, Ukrainian forces were pushed out of Bakhmut shortly thereafter, leaving behind tens of thousands of dead.

Somehow, the Ukrainian Army was able to part with such a prodigious warrior, as Sarah has not returned to the front lines. After her injury, Sarah settled into a propaganda role creating a series of increasingly unhinged videos called “Russia Hates the Truth”, an ironic title given Sarah’s own relationship with truth resembles that of a Vampire with sunlight. Sarah produces the videos under the aegis of the UAF, but with hosting and promotion from Resolute Square, an offshoot of the failed right-wing Lincoln Project. Resolute Square’s founder is a man named Rick Wilson, who was a long time Republican staffer involved in dozens of campaigns.

Before the Lincoln Project, he was mostly known for creating attack ads targeting Senator and disabled Vietnam Veteran Max Cleland in 2002 for not wholeheartedly supporting America’s illegal full-scale invasion of Iraq, even comparing him to Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden. Cleland was defeated by far-right senator Saxby Chambliss, who once called for all Muslims to be arrested upon entering Georgia. Chambliss received six draft deferments during the Vietnam War, showing us once again who pays for the profits of the ruling  class.

Despite pretenses, Sarah’s videos are exceptionally light on facts. They are usually only a few minutes long and are little more than poorly practiced rants. Sarah shouts propaganda mantras, threatens Russian leadership and tells tales of Ukrainian valor with all the fervor of a bad pro wrestler selling a match.

In one of the most infamous videos, Sarah tilts at windmills in a more literal sense, engaging in a fight with a cardboard cutout of a Russian soldier. The brave warrior with a smirk on her face calls her opponent (and all Russians) a subhuman before the camera fades to black as if she is afraid that her silent companion may have a retort. Sarah’s sycophants and patrons in the western media treated this bizarre performance like it was a revelation of divine truth, and the video has hundreds of thousands of views. The Ukrainian Army claims that Sarah’s videos reach millions and while it is easy to mock her quixotic rants as the work of an increasingly desperate regime, there is something far more sinister beneath the surface.

The Long Game

Just as the night rises against the day, the light and dark are in eternal conflict. So too, is the subhuman the greatest enemy of the dominant species on earth, mankind. The subhuman is a biological creature, crafted by nature, which has hands, legs, eyes and mouth, even the semblance of a brain. Nevertheless, this terrible creature is only a partial human being. Although it has features similar to a human, the subhuman is lower on the spiritual and psychological scale than any animal. Inside of this creature lies wild and unrestrained passions: an  incessant need to destroy, filled with the most primitive desires, chaos and coldhearted villainy.

A subhuman and nothing more! Der Untermensch: The Subhuman

Der Untermensch (The Subhuman), a Nazi propaganda magazine. Source: en.wikipedia.org

Sarah is not the first western propagandist to call Russians subhuman. That dubious honor belongs to Joseph Goebbels. In the 1930s and 1940s, Goebbels and his comrades in the NSDAP used the very same language to justify the murder of over 40 million Soviet citizens, many of them Ukrainian. Just as now, they had the backing of a massive media apparatus behind them, designed to disseminate their propaganda as widely as possible. Many of these propagandists continued working after the war, now under the apparatus of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization instead of the Greater German Reich. Whatever they called it, the goal was the same.

However, the focus on the Nazis overlooks one important point. They did not work alone. Everywhere the fascists went, collaborators emerged like maggots in a wound. The collaborators served a wide variety of roles, both formal and informal, but they were vital in the execution of Generalplan Ost, the Nazi plan to exterminate the entire Slavic people and colonize their land. The Nazis desperately needed as many soldiers as possible at the front and so much of the day-to-day work of depopulating a continent was done by the collaborators.

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Ukrainian nationalists murder a Ukrainian woman and child near Miropol Source: timesofisrael.com...

When the machinery of the Greater German Reich was absorbed by NATO, the collaborators were not left behind.

Before the war had even ended, British and American intelligence were already moving to protect the most useful members of the Third Reich and their collaborators. They inherited intelligence networks operated by Hitler’s handpicked spymaster Reinhard Gehlen which had been built to exterminate the Soviet people. Gehlen was taken under the wing of the CIA, where he operated an illegal terrorist organization and helped Nazi war criminals escape to pro-NATO states. Gehlen was rewarded for his service when he was chosen to operate the West German BND, an intelligence agency staffed almost entirely by SS war criminals released from prison on Gehlen’s orders.

The first collaboration between what would become NATO and the forefathers of today’s Ukrainian nationalists came in 1944, when the OUN negotiated a deal with British and American intelligence at the Vatican and by the end of 1945, the leadership of the OUN was living openly in Munich under the CIA and Gehlen’s protection. Stepan Bandera even had a security detail comprised entirely of ex-SS officers.

The collaboration between the two sides continued and deepened after the war. The CIA even parachuted weapons and commandos into Soviet Ukraine to assist groups of SS remnants, Nazi collaborators and local bandits led by UPA commander and holocaust perpetrator Roman Shukhevych. In Munich, the rest of the OUN leadership worked as advisors, gun runners and assassins for the CIA. Although Bandera’s extreme arrogance and intransigence eventually led to him being burned by the CIA after he compromised too many operations, his deputy Yaroslav Stetsko was promoted to lead the CIA’s anti-communist proxies in Europe.

Stetsko was not a moderate by any means, he was the primary ideologist of the OUN and responsible for their worst crimes. When the Nazis invaded the Soviet Union, Yaroslav Stetsko marched at their vanguard. While OUN forces beat the “untermensch” of Lviv to death in the streets with hammers and axes, Yaroslav Stetsko was pledging allegiance to Adolf Hitler in a radio announcement.

Stetsko shakes hands with CIA director turned Vice President, George H.W. Bush. Source: twitter

“The newly formed Ukrainian state will work closely with the National-Socialist Greater Germany, under the leadership of its leader Adolf Hitler which is forming a new order in Europe and the world and is helping the Ukrainian People to free itself from Moscovite occupation.-Yaroslav Stetsko

At first, Stetsko led the Anti-Bolshevik Bloc of Nations or ABN, and this was eventually merged with various other anti-communist groups to form the World Anti-Communist League. There, the Ukrainian collaborators worked with such luminaries as the Contras, Sun Myung Moon, several Yakuza leaders, Senator John McCain, Otto Skorzeny and many more in a fascist international that ran operations from Vietnam to Guatemala. Together, they served as Reagan’s “Third Force” who could conjure a revolution or engineer a crackdown anywhere America desired.

Yaroslav Stetsko died in 1986, and his wife Slava took over the organization. In 1991, 50 years to the day after the Lviv Pogroms of 1941, Slava returned to Ukraine and created a new organization, the Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists (KUN), who sat in the ruling coalition of Ukraine from 1991 to 2010.

The small political party provided cover for their real purpose, the KUN actively recruited and trained a military wing called Tryzub, comprised mostly of former police and soldiers. When the time came for them to act, they were ready to implement their decades-old plan. By their own admission, the KUN stood at the vanguard of the Maidan coup in 2014.

Slava Stetsko opening the Rada in 1994 Source: voltairenet.org

After the Maidan coup deposed the democratically elected Yanukovych government, the putschists found themselves in a precarious situation. Their coup was so unpopular that 70% of the military had either defected or deserted, leaving the new regime with a desperate need for soldiers, but very few of them at their disposal. The solution was to deputize the fascists and mercenaries who orchestrated the coup and bolster their ranks with the most savage mercenaries American money could buy. Sarah’s comrade Botsman was among the very first in a long line of hired killers sent to bring Ukraine to heel once again.

The new Special Tasks Patrol police units were unleashed on Ukraine with Western support and training, and they have lived up to the bloody legacy of their ancestors. Fortunately, their plan was only partially successful. While cities like Odessa and Kharkov bled and burned, the people of Eastern Ukraine did not forget the lessons of history and resisted these maniacs at the cost of many lives.

Now, Ukraine stands at a decisive crossroads. As Ukrainians die by the thousands to clear minefields with their bodies in a battle their leaders knew they could not win, we cannot afford to forget who pulls the strings.

The people of Ukraine deserve far better than to be used as chips in a high stakes game. We must do everything we can to make sure gamblers like Sarah, and those who bankroll her, go bust before they can turn any more Ukrainian lives into profits for the gamblers in Washington and Brussels.

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The Holodomor Famine: Unmasking the Genocide Narrative
A Comprehensive Inquiry into the Ukrainian Famine's History and Its Exploitation in Political Warfare

I. Introduction

In the geopolitical chessboard, where nations engage in a dance of power, influence, and interests, the past seldom stays buried. History, with its kaleidoscope of events and judgments, serves as a wellspring of ammunition, readily exploited by those eager to advance their political aims. Such is the case with the narrative of the Holodomor, a famine that swept through the Soviet lands in the grim years of 1932-1933, its shadows still reaching out to haunt the corridors of international diplomacy.

The controversial nature of recognizing the Holodomor as genocide adds another layer of complexity to the already intricate fabric of history. It's a tale that echoes through time, twisted by the whims of political ambition, and now resurfacing with renewed vigor to achieve particular objectives. To explore this territory, one must wear the boots of a historian and the cloak of a diplomat, treading carefully through the mines of truth, myth, fraud and propaganda.

Some see the famine as an unfortunate but unintended consequence of economic policies and political mismanagement; others paint it as a deliberate and calculated act of genocide, a sword aimed at the heart of the Ukrainian people. Who holds the chalice of truth? Is it to be found in political resolutions, such as the recent one adopted by the Italian Senate? Or does it lie buried beneath layers of intrigue, ideology, and expediency?

The recognition of the so-called Holodomor as "a genocide of the Ukrainian people" by the Italian legislators is more than a historical judgment; it is a political statement, a move in a game where the stakes are high and the rules often obscured by the fog of rhetoric. It's a move that ignites debate, fuels emotion, and opens old wounds. But beyond the clamour and tumult lies a nuanced landscape, demanding more than a cursory glance.

It's a landscape filled with questions that beg to be answered, shadows that need illumination, and echoes that resound with the complex interplay of power, politics, and history. This exploration is not merely an academic exercise; it's a journey into the heart of how nations remember, interpret, and utilize their past.

In the coming sections, we'll unravel the threads of the Holodomor narrative, navigate the turbulent waters of political exploitation, and strive to shine a light on a path that leads not to division and discord but to understanding, balance, and respect for the multifaceted nature of history. In the process, we'll expose the mechanisms that turn the wheels of political machinery, revealing the deeper game at play. For history, as we'll discover, is far more than a repository of facts; it's a battlefield where truth and power collide, a complex tapestry woven with the threads of human ambition, triumph, tragedy, and deception.

 
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Unfolding Dynamics in the Far East: A Geopolitical Chessboard of Power and Possibilities
Russia, China, and North Korea: Pivoting the Axis of Power towards a New Multipolar World Order

In the ever-evolving chessboard of global geopolitics, the Far East stands as an enigmatic and highly contested region. A product of a tumultuous history, shaped by the complex legacy of the Cold War and a myriad of strategic alliances and rivalries, the region has emerged as a critical fulcrum in the balance of global power. Today, we find ourselves on the precipice of monumental shifts within this geopolitical cauldron. The focal point of this power shift is none other than North Korea, long considered an isolated nation, but now gradually transforming into a crucial pivot of international strategy. A strategic dance is unfolding, orchestrated by the adept manoeuvres of China and Russia. As they say, fortune favours the bold - and the bold, it seems, are the rising eastern powers.

Recently, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu made an unprecedented state visit to Pyongyang, which took place from July 25th to the 27th. Accompanied by a military delegation, this significant event was the first of its kind in the post-Soviet era. The timing, the 70th anniversary of the armistice leading to a cessation of Korean War hostilities, was undeniably potent. It wasn’t merely a diplomatic courtesy - it was a statement of Russia’s reemergence as a dominant player on the global stage, a force to be reckoned with, quite literally puncturing a hole into the fortress of sanctions the US has painstakingly built around North Korea.

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu holds talks with his North Korean counterpart Kang Sun-nam in Pyongyang (Sputnik)

Examining the matter beyond the surface of diplomatic formalities, the conducted tour of North Korea’s missile arsenal, including its newest marvel, the ICBM Hwasong-18, carries a tremendous geopolitical significance. This isn't just a display of Pyongyang's technological prowess; it's a tacit signal to Washington and its allies about the shifting power dynamics in the region. It's an indirect reminder of the potency of the partnerships they may be contending against. This chapter in the geopolitics of the Far East is shifting from speculation to an evocative, tangible reality.

The visit coincided with President Vladimir Putin chairing the Russia--Africa Summit in St. Petersburg, both a grand symphony and a signal of Russia's international clout. The crescendo of this was the VIP tour of North Korea's arsenal of nuclear-capable missiles for the Russian military delegation, a show-and-tell orchestrated by Kim Jong Un himself. This intimate look into North Korea's missile capabilities, including its newest achievement, the Hwasong-18, was a dramatic display of the hermit kingdom’s military prowess and geopolitical assertiveness.

In the grand tradition of international diplomacy, a handwritten letter from Putin to Kim was presented. While the contents remain a mystery, the statement was clear - the roots of Russia-North Korea friendship run deep, and they are to be nurtured, particularly in these times of shifting security landscapes. This sentiment was echoed by Russia's Defense Ministry, which acknowledged Shoigu's visit as an essential step in strengthening bilateral military ties and expanding cooperation.

The letters exchanged and the meetings conducted signal far more than simple diplomatic courtesy. They represent a comprehensive, strategic alignment between Russia and North Korea, particularly in the critical areas of national defence and security. They underscore an emerging consensus, a shared understanding of the regional and international security landscape. The language of 'strategic and tactical collaboration and cooperation' shouldn't be overlooked; it signifies an intense, concerted response to the simmering geopolitical tensions.

The ensuing narrative spun by both nations speaks volumes. It speaks of mutual concerns in defence, security, and the volatile regional environment in the Far East. One can glean a clear reference to "strategic and tactical collaboration and cooperation," which hints at a potentially groundbreaking chapter in this international saga.

The geopolitical ballet gains further complexity with the concurrent visit of Li Hongzhong, Vice Chairman of China's National People's Congress Standing Committee. The synchronized nature of these diplomatic overtures by Russia and China seems to counteract the Biden Administration's push towards a trilateral alliance with Washington, Tokyo, and Seoul.

Last year, the election of pro-western South Korean president Yoon Suk-Yeol marked a significant shift in the region's political landscape. Yoon's realignment towards the West and distancing from Moscow and Beijing, coupled with a more hawkish approach towards Pyongyang, has intensified regional tensions. The blueprint of Washington's approach to the Far East is quite reminiscent of its strategies in the Middle East, where an atmosphere of fear and uncertainty has long been propagated to justify its military presence and substantial arms exports. The difference, however, is that the real targets of Washington's Far East strategy are China and Russia.

The geopolitical ramifications of deepening military cooperation between Washington and Seoul cannot be underestimated. As the confrontations between the two Koreas edge towards escalation, it's not just regional stability at stake, but the equilibrium of international relations. The Biden-Yoon Washington Declaration is a clear indication of America's hardened stance, exacerbating the cycle of provocation and retaliation that threatens to destabilize the region.

It's undeniable that the US, with its latest aggressive stance, is destabilizing the regional equilibrium. Its provocations towards Pyongyang and strategic undermining of the Korean Peninsula's stability are seen as calculated moves designed to counter the Sino-Russian axis. The recent visits by two US nuclear submarines to South Korean naval bases in July exemplify this strategy.

Amidst this international power play, the Arctic shipping route is emerging as a significant point of economic and strategic interest. As the polar ice caps melt, new opportunities for trade between Asia and Europe are opening up. A shipping route through the Arctic could potentially shorten the maritime distance between Europe and Northeast Asia by almost a third compared to the currently used Suez route. This is a game-changing development that falls outside American control, thereby heightening its strategic importance for both China and Russia.

The centrepeice of this shifting dynamic is North Korea's Rajin Port, the most northerly ice-free port in Asia. It holds the potential to become a significant "logistics hub" if linked to the Trans-Siberian Railway. The Special Economic Zone in Rajin is a crucial junction in the Arctic shipping network and is ideally positioned to leverage the Northern Sea Route's potential.

The Arctic shipping route is far more than a time-saving trade corridor. Its strategic value in this era of heightened power competition is profound, as it sidesteps American control and potentially reshapes the global trade map. Amid escalating geopolitical tensions, the early planning and precautions around diversifying shipping routes could be a key strategic move for China's long-term economic and trade security.

While the US continues to fan the flames of tension in North Korea, it is the eastern powerhouses that may eventually benefit from the ensuing geopolitical reshuffle. Shoigu’s groundbreaking visit to Pyongyang aims not just at warming bilateral relations but also integrating North Korea into the geoeconomics of Eurasia. Anticipate that these discussions will figure prominently during Putin's upcoming visit to China in October, potentially leading to new developments within the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative.

With the right infrastructure and political stability, North Korea's Rajin Port could become an instrumental cog in the wheel of Eurasian trade. It could potentially transform into a crucial link between the Arctic shipping network and the bustling ports of Northeast Asia. It's a tantalizing prospect that, if realized, would offer a counter-narrative to America's attempts to contain North Korea.

The implications of Shoigu's landmark visit to Pyongyang are far-reaching. It's not just about improving bilateral relations or boosting national security. It's a blueprint for a greater geopolitical vision, a means to pull North Korea out of isolation and integrate it into the broader geoeconomics of Eurasia. This is a vision not limited by zero-sum games or short-term gain. Instead, it looks to a future defined by cooperation, mutual benefit, and regional stability

In this evolving multipolar world, Russia and China are two pillars standing shoulder to shoulder, but with their roles sharply delineated. Russia is providing the kinetic backbone to the world's unfolding geopolitical narrative, holding back the full brunt of NATO's might through its ongoing SMO in Ukraine. This operation isn't just about the demilitarization and de-Nazisification of Ukraine, but it also serves as a linchpin in Russia's strategic counter-offensive against the West's hybrid warfare. Russia’s decisive response is reshaping the global power dynamic, undercutting NATO's aggressive posturing, and setting the stage for a new era of geopolitical recalibration.

As Russia's military might and industrial prowess keeps the spotlight, China, meanwhile, navigates the intricate world of diplomacy and economic bridges. Continuing to build what Belarusian President Lukashenko aptly coined the 'Golden Globe,' China is solidifying relationships within the Global Majority. This extended alliance of the Global South, united in shared aspirations and challenges, is the rising force that is gradually shifting the axis of the global order.

This emerging reality underscores Russia's pivotal role. The recent Russia-Africa Summit chaired by President Putin is a testament to this. It is an undeniable evidence of Russia's significant strides into Africa, marking its growing influence in this historically underestimated continent.

Putin and participants of the Russia-Africa summit pose for a photo in St Petersburg on July 27th (TASS)

The notion of 'Russian isolation' is being dismantled, piece by piece, with every strategic move. Far from being isolated, Russia, along with China, is aligning itself with the Global Majority. The arrogant Western minority, long accustomed to dictating the world's narrative, now faces the uncomfortable truth of their waning influence. The world is larger and far more complex than the narrow lens through which they have been accustomed to viewing it

Some Final Thoughts

As we draw our narrative to a close, we find ourselves staring into the heart of a fundamental recalibration in global geopolitics. Far from being a distant probability, it is an active, ongoing process reshaping the contours of global power dynamics even as we speak. The Far East, once a mere stage for external power plays, is rapidly transforming into a formidable arena dictating its own rules of the game.

As Russia and China consolidate their strategic alliances and redefine their roles on the international stage, the traditional narrative of unipolar dominance led by the West crumbles before our eyes. The seismic shifts we are witnessing are not merely disruptions; they represent the harbingers of a new, multipolar world order, a brave new world in which power is distributed more evenly across multiple centers of influence. This multipolar world is not a figment of speculative futurism – it is a reality being forged in the crucibles of North Korea, Russia, and China.

The intricate dance of diplomacy, the strategic power play, and the evolving alliances in the Far East are all parts of this great transformation. North Korea, once considered an isolated outpost, is progressively becoming a pivot, a crucial point around which these changes are revolving.

As the partnerships solidify and a distinctive Eastern vision for North Korea emerges, we are witnessing more than just a regional metamorphosis. These events signal a profound shift in the global power balance. Multipolarity is not on the horizon - it is here, altering the rules of the game, shaping new alliances, and redefining international relations.

As we grapple with these changes, it becomes apparent that the arrogant assumption of permanent Western dominance is fading into the annals of history. The Global Majority is emerging as a formidable force, heralding a new era where the geopolitical narrative is written by a diverse array of voices, and not just a Western minority.

The Far East, once perceived through a lens of conflict and controversy, is metamorphosing into a nexus of possibilities and power shifts. Are we on the precipice of a global geopolitical revolution? It would seem so. The Eastern powers are boldly charting a course through this unexplored territory, crafting a future defined by cooperation, mutual respect, and stability.

As the global community watches this transformative phase, the reality becomes clear - the geopolitical chessboard, once assumed to be set in stone, is not fixed. It's dynamic, reflective of the ebbs and flows of international politics. This transformation, this shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world, is not just a future possibility – it is our unfolding reality. In this grand reshaping of the world order, it is not just the pieces on the chessboard that are moving. The chessboard itself is changing.

-Sarah and Gerry

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